March 27, 2025

Why Kenneth Andrade is buying Kaveri Seeds

A closer look at the investment rationale behind Kenneth Andrade’s bet on Kaveri Seeds and the structural factors driving long-term value.

Why Kenneth Andrade is buying Kaveri Seeds

Many years ago, an unknown fund invested in Kaveri Seeds.

Disclosure: Invested as on 27th March 2025. Read full Disclosure at Bottom 🔻🔻
Special Thanks to Mr. Jatin Khemani of Stalwart Advisors 🙏🏽 for his guidance related to this article.
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Between 2012-2015, the stock went up 10X and the fund manager - Samit Vartak of Sage-one advisors shot to the SMID (small & Mid-cap) Hall-of-fame.

Sadly, the party ended in December 2015 when the Government included Cotton under the Essential commodities Act.

This allowed the GOI to control the price of cotton Seeds !

So, what?

So, 70%+ of Sales for Kaveri Seeds came from Cotton seeds. It was among the Top 3 suppliers of cotton Seeds in the Country with a Market share of 18% in 2015.

At the time, many cotton seed players were selling at ~ Rs 1200-1600/packet (450 Grams).

Sorry, said the Government and set a Pan-India MRP of 800/packet of Bollgard-2 Seeds (Read: BollWorm Guard 2 or BG2).

It also fixed the Royalty paid to Monsanto - the technology owner of Bollgard-2 seeds and one of largest seed companies in the world.

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🌱 Monsanto & The Bt Cotton Revolution in India

In 2002, a quiet revolution began in Indian agriculture — and Monsanto was at the center of it.

India approved the first genetically modified seed - Bt cotton, developed by Monsanto to fight the bollworm pest, which had long plagued Indian cotton farmers. Few could have predicted the scale and speed of what came next.

What Changed?

Adoption was explosive

  • From less than 2% of cotton acreage in 2002, Bt cotton spread like wildfire, accounting for over 90% of all cotton acreage by 2013, or roughly 11 million hectares.
Farmers who once relied on multiple pesticide sprays each season now had a biotech solution baked into the seed.

Yields climbed

  • The average yield jumped from 302 kg per hectare in 2001 to over 550 kg/ha by 2013.

Production surged

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